← Weatherlight Grand Archive Store Championship - Mortal Ambition season!
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at Weatherlight Grand Archive Store Championship - Mortal Ambition season!
decks
3
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
16
8-6-2
overall winrate
56.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.1%
avg ELO -0.4 per match
expected value
50.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1279
· median 1224
· range 1194–1418
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
985
Q1 1205
Q3 1406
1571
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 18.5% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 44.4% | -3.6 |
| Wind Allies | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 11.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 52.9% | +2.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.4% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 39.5% | -7.9 |
| Fire Exia | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.5 |
| Water Allies | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.8 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.5 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.5 |
| Wind Overlord | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.6 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
